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Why Deposit Growth Remains Slow?

Why Deposit Growth Remains Slow?

Summary

The core idea of the story, in a faster reading layer.

Deposits at many banks have increased slowly, and even declined in the first quarter of 2026, due to pressure to balance funding sources and shifts in capital flows caused by seasonal factors, real estate, and an increased desire to hold cash. The loan-to-deposit ratio has exceeded 100% during this time.

AI quick analysis

A short investor-focused read on transmission channels, sectors, and near-term watchpoints.

Market Context & Analysis Scope

  • Deposit growth at multiple banks has slowed or declined in the first quarter of 2026.
  • Pressure on capital allocation and shifts in cash flow due to seasonal factors, real estate, and increased cash hoarding sentiment.

Impact mechanism

  • Pressure on capital allocation when the loan-to-deposit ratio has exceeded 100% → reduced deposits → increased funding costs.
  • Shifts in cash flow due to seasonal factors, real estate, and increased cash hoarding sentiment → reduced deposits → reduced lending.
  • Benefiting or Pressured Industries/Stocks:

Banks

  • the industry is under pressure due to increased funding costs and reduced deposits.

Other Industries

  • no specific information is available about other industries benefiting or under pressure.

Risks to watch

  • Risks related to bank capital allocation and funding costs.
  • Risks related to lending and reduced deposits.
  • Short-Term Timeframe:
  • In the short term, the likelihood of continued slow or declining deposit growth due to pressure on capital allocation and shifts in cash flow.
  • Closely monitor deposit and lending developments in the coming period.

AI-assisted synthesis only. Not investment advice.

Potentially affected tickers

Heuristic mapping from the story and reference listed-market data.

VCBNeutral

Price: updating

Linked through sector exposure; expected market read is neutral if the story gets priced in.

Related through sector linkage
BIDNeutral

Price: updating

Linked through sector exposure; expected market read is neutral if the story gets priced in.

Related through sector linkage
CTGNeutral

Price: updating

Linked through sector exposure; expected market read is neutral if the story gets priced in.

Related through sector linkage
MBBNeutral

Price: updating

Linked through sector exposure; expected market read is neutral if the story gets priced in.

Related through sector linkage
TCBNeutral

Price: 31,700

Linked through sector exposure; expected market read is neutral if the story gets priced in.

Related through sector linkage
VHMNeutral

Price: 152,000

Linked through sector exposure; expected market read is neutral if the story gets priced in.

Related through sector linkage
VICNeutral

Price: 207,000

Linked through sector exposure; expected market read is neutral if the story gets priced in.

Related through sector linkage
KDHNeutral

Price: 22,900

Linked through sector exposure; expected market read is neutral if the story gets priced in.

Related through sector linkage

Source excerpt

Stored source excerpt from the original article, without rewriting the publication's voice.

Deposits at many banks have increased slowly, even declining in the first quarter of 2026, while credit expansion has been quite strong. This trend reflects the pressure on capital allocation as the loan-to-deposit ratio has surpassed 100%, combined with the shift in funds due to seasonal factors, real estate, and an increase in the desire to hold cash.